Estimating and Projecting Demand for Azithromycin Antibiotic in Khartoum State, Sudan
Estimating and Projecting Demand for Azithromycin Antibiotic in Khartoum State, Sudan
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Date
2023-12
Authors
Mohmmed Alfadel Esmail
Mogab Ibrahim Yasin
Matab Khalid
Yara Abdel Alftah
Murtada A. Oshi
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Napata College
Abstract
Objectives: This study presents a simple method to estimate the real supply and demand for
azithromycin (AZA) antibiotic in 2022 and project its demand for the next 10 years in
Khartoum State, Sudan.
Methods: A descriptive cross-sectional market survey was conducted in three cities of
Khartoum State from February 2022 to November 2022 by visiting 85 pharmacies. Basic
questions were asked to the pharmacist through a questionnaire regarding the actual supply
and demand of AZA.
Results: The obtained data showed an actual supply of 158,386,750 AZA tablets/capsules
and a real demand of 633,547,000 tablets/capsules in 2022. In addition, this study found that
there was a gap between the supply-demand of approximately 668 million of AZA
tablets/capsules until 2031. Conclusions: This study can be used as a guide to estimate the
actual supply and the real demand for AZA antibiotic or any other antibiotic and to predict its
real demand for the future
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Original article