Volume 2

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Estimating and Projecting Demand for Azithromycin Antibiotic in Khartoum State, Sudan
(Napata College, 2023-12) Mohmmed Alfadel Esmail; Mogab Ibrahim Yasin; Matab Khalid; Yara Abdel Alftah; Murtada A. Oshi
Objectives: This study presents a simple method to estimate the real supply and demand for azithromycin (AZA) antibiotic in 2022 and project its demand for the next 10 years in Khartoum State, Sudan. Methods: A descriptive cross-sectional market survey was conducted in three cities of Khartoum State from February 2022 to November 2022 by visiting 85 pharmacies. Basic questions were asked to the pharmacist through a questionnaire regarding the actual supply and demand of AZA. Results: The obtained data showed an actual supply of 158,386,750 AZA tablets/capsules and a real demand of 633,547,000 tablets/capsules in 2022. In addition, this study found that there was a gap between the supply-demand of approximately 668 million of AZA tablets/capsules until 2031. Conclusions: This study can be used as a guide to estimate the actual supply and the real demand for AZA antibiotic or any other antibiotic and to predict its real demand for the future